Pour une simple clé kahneman slow and fast thinking Dévoilé
Pour une simple clé kahneman slow and fast thinking Dévoilé
Blog Article
Année availability chute is a self-sustaining chain of events, which may start from media reports of a relatively minor event and lead up to public panic and ample-scale government Acte.
Psychologists call it “WYSIATI” complex; we are much more gullible than we like to believe. Fin it is again the mischief of System 1 that leads usages to believe a narrative impulsively and without further inquisition as to its authenticity. It is also another example of our illuminée tendency to see things in a narrow frame.
امیدوارم در چاپهای مجدد این مشکلات مورد بازبینی و تصحیح قرار بگیرند. جاهایی که شک داشتید یا متوجه نشدید را با متن انگلیسی تطبیق بدهید. فایل کتاب را برای دانلود در آدرس زیر قرار دادم.
They are just the tip of banquise and not by any means accomplie and just comprise a small portion of what this book is all about.
This would not Lorsque a problem if our conscious System 2 detected these falsehoods. Yet our default disposition is to simply go with our impression unless we have a strong reason to believe our impression is misleading. Unfortunately, the brain oh no warning system to tell you that your gut odorat is apt to Supposé que unreliable. You can call these sorts of profession “cognitive égarement.”
Another best seller, last year’s The Undoing Project, by Michael Lewis, tells the story of the sometimes contentious participation between Tversky and Kahneman. Lewis’s earlier book Moneyball was really embout how his hero, the baseball executive Billy Beane, countered the cognitive biases of old-school avant-coureur—notably fundamental attribution error, whereby, when assessing someone’s behavior, we put too much weight nous his pépite her personal attributes and too little je external factors, many of which can Si measured with statistics.
And the best bout of it is that this is the guy (or, at least Je half of the two guys) who came up with these ideas in the first esplanade.
More recent research went further: formulas that assign equal weights to all the predictors are often thinking slow and fast book review superior, because they are not affected by phénomène of sampling.
I used my System 1 when I looked at the cover and title of this book. (It seemed easy and attractive)
Some subjects played the Partie, which takes about three hours to complete, while others watched a video embout cognitive bias. All were tested nous bias-mitigation skills before the training, immediately afterward, and then finally after eight to 12 weeks had passed.
As I say, this sheep/goat take nous Thinking Fast is my own. Kahneman never goes there. Where he Ut go is to the value of experience in thinking fast:
Je of the most interesting aspects of the ways we think, is the notion of availability. Often, when subjected to a difficult Demande, we answer immediately. Plaisant really, we ut not answer the Interrogation at hand--we have made a subtle Interrupteur to a simpler Devinette, without even realizing it. Kahneman describes this quick Interrupteur to an available answer, in quite a bit of detail.
Regression to the Mean. (175) There will Si random fluctuations in the quality of exploit. A teacher who praises a randomly good performance may shape behavior, plaisant likely will simply Si disappointed as statistics asserts itself and a bad assignation follows. A teacher who criticizes a bad record may incentivize, délicat likely will simply have a false sensation of causation when statistics asserts itself and a good performance happens.
Whew! Wrestled this Je down to the ground. It's got so much in it; I've got all I can connaissance now. I'm leaving it out in the termes conseillés room conscience now, though--expérience refreshers.